Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 27

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Location: Bingoal Stadion (Den Haag)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	ADO Den Haag		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.55	2.2
	2.85	3.35	2.26
	3.01	3.72	2.31
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	2.96	3.64	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.65)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
31.7%

Draw
26.8%

Heracles Almelo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

26.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	23.5%	41.2%

ADO Den Haag - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Heracles will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Den Haag could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Heracles will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.23	PSV Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.02.23	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Jong PSV - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.23	ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTWWW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	7:0 ✺
17.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	1:1 ✺
13.02.23	MVV Maastricht - Heracles Almelo	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Jong Utrecht	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.08.22	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	4:0
Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.21	ADO Den Haag - Heracles Almelo	1:2
13.09.20	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	2:0
29.02.20	ADO Den Haag - Heracles Almelo	0:0
30.11.19	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	4:0
03.02.19	ADO Den Haag - Heracles Almelo	2:0
18.08.18	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	4:2

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