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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 15.4%
Draw 19.1%
Heracles Almelo 65.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.7%
16.9%
69.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.1%
16.1%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MVV Maastricht - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Heracles (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wentges H. (G) 17. van der Wegen S. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 25. Liesdek Y. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 18. Sierra E. 19. Luijendijk M. 10. Dumont O. 27. Matoug N. 7. Daneels L.
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. 14. Wrusch M. 25. Manny 5. van der Kust D. 32. Scheperman S. (C) 7. Abbas C. 10. Bruns T. 6. Tomic D. 27. N'djoli J.
Substitutes
20. Amgar A. 21. Asante D. 33. Bomble T. 31. Bourard Y. 14. Kuipers M. 13. Timmers S. (G) 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 29. Zimuangana O.
3. Borac M. 35. Bultman S. 8. Engels M. 22. Hamamioglu T. 18. Hauswirth M. 16. Jansink T. (G) 9. Poppler V. 23. te Wierik M. 17. van Gilst T. 26. van Kaam D. 30. van Oorschot D. 33. Zeevalkink L. (G)
Coaches
Jonker A.
Heilmann V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
33', 1 - 0, van der Wegen S. ⚽, Liesdek Y. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Wrusch M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Abbas C. ⚽, N'djoli J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 3, Manny ⚽, Abbas C. (A),
52', Bruns T. ↓, Hauswirth M. ↑,
52', Tomic D. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
62', 1 - 4, N'djoli J. ⚽, Abbas C. (A),
69', Klaasen R. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
77', Manny ↓, Engels M. ↑,
77', Benita M. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
77', Liesdek Y. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
77', Matoug N. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
82', 1 - 5, N'djoli J. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
83', van der Kust D. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
89', Daneels L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Eredivisie).
Recent results have been tough for Maastricht (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Heracles shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Heracles enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Maastricht: Hofland M.
(Arm Injury)
Timber D.
(Injury).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Maastricht has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maastricht against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Netherlands
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Wentges H. (G) 
Sierra E. 
Wrusch M. 
Manny 
van der Kust D. 
Abbas C. 
Amgar A. 
Borac M. 
Poppler V. 
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