Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Heracles Almelo		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.8	2.88	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.92
	2.31	3.85	2.92
	2.29	3.8	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.8
	2.31	3.75	2.93	Watch
	2.33	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
41.4%

Draw
25.5%

Telstar
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Heracles Almelo - Telstar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Heracles (1.67) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jansink T. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 7. Limbombe B. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Zamburek J. 73. Ould Chikh W. 17. van Gilst T. 9. Hornkamp J.	1. Koeman R. (G) 6. Bakker D. (C) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 21. Koswal D. 17. Rossen N. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 7. Hetli S.
Substitutes
2. Benita M. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 10. Bruns T. 1. de Keijzer F. (G) 8. Engels M. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 5. van der Kust D. 3. Wieckhoff J.	13. Bodak T. (G) 10. Hamdaoui M. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 11. Noslin T. 5. Nwankwo N. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K. 9. Zonneveld M.
Coaches
Faber E.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,
32', Zamburek J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Koswal D. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
54', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
65', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
65', van Gilst T. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
65', Hetli S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
72', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
72', Limbombe B. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
76', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
76', Brouwer P. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
84', Mesik I. 🟨,
85', Noslin T. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Mesik I. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
90+4', Owusu T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Heracles is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Telstar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Kulenovic L. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:0. (average 4.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:0. (average 4.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
29.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Excelsior - Heracles Almelo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	8:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TWWWW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
30.11.25	Telstar - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Twente - Telstar	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Telstar - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Lisse - Telstar	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	7:0
16.09.22	Telstar - Heracles Almelo	0:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.20	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	3:0
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	4:0

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