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Vitesse vs Waalwijk Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 07, 2026)

Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 1

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vitesse		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.60	2.65	Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.60
	2.25	3.55	2.63	Watch
	2.41	3.70	2.85
	2.45	3.78	2.56	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.80
	2.38	3.60	2.70	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	2.69 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
39.4%

Draw
25.9%

Waalwijk
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitesse will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 14. Achouitar O. 43. Olde Keizer C. 8. Schwarz R. 6. Schikora M. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 21. Sellouf A. 13. Pinto J. 9. Bannis N.	1. Schiks N. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 4. van Gelderen L. 30. de Wijs J. (C) 55. Held N. 22. van de Loo T. 18. van Hedel R. 8. Nap J. 24. Dkidak A. 9. van de Haar J. 5. Familia-Castillo J.
Substitutes
25. Bodak T. (G) 42. Bosch T. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 20. De Carvalho F. 34. Ouallil Y. 27. Probst E. 11. Ranon Y. 55. Steffen M. 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X. 7. Zonneveld N.	25. Bakboord N. 7. Fage R. 13. Mulder X. (G) 6. Postma L. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Stokkers F. 3. van der Plas S. 11. van der Veen Y. 19. van Gemert H. 10. van Leeuwen T. 20. Varela K.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Sellouf A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Bannis N. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
42', van de Loo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Dkidak A. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
60', van de Haar J. ↓, van Leeuwen T. ↑,
60', van de Loo T. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
64', Nap J. 🟨,
66', Pinto J. ↓, Probst E. ↑,
74', van Hedel R. ↓, Postma L. ↑,
75', Postma L. 🟨,
78', Marschalk M. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
78', Sellouf A. ↓, De Carvalho F. ↑,
82', Nap J. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
83', van den Berg C. 🟥,
84', Olde Keizer C. 🟨,
86', Schwarz R. ↓, Brull M. ↑,
86', Bannis N. ↓, Steffen M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Stokkers F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 1.

Waalwijk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vitesse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Injury) Zorgdrager B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
14	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Waalwijk - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Vitesse - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Vitesse - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Vitesse - Roda	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Cambuur - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Vitesse - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTLT
- RKC Waalwijk
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Waalwijk - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Waalwijk - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Waalwijk - Volendam	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Waalwijk - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Kozakken Boys - Waalwijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1
16.09.25	Waalwijk - Vitesse	1:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.24	Waalwijk - Vitesse	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.24	Waalwijk - Vitesse	3:1
16.09.23	Vitesse - Waalwijk	0:2
01.04.23	Waalwijk - Vitesse	1:0
27.08.22	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:2

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