Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN Extra


	Vitesse		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.71	Watch
	4.1	4	1.66
	3.95	4.15	1.72	Watch
	4.09	4.25	1.75
	3.96	4.34	1.72	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.75
	4.03	4.05	1.74	Watch
	3.8	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.21)	4.11 ↓ (4.33)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
23.4%

Draw
22.7%

ADO Den Haag
53.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.2%

21.6%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

20.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Vitesse - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 55. Steffen M. 17. Zumberi V. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 19. Tahaui A. 33. Marschalk M. 13. Pinto J. 20. Bannis N. 7. Hoogewerf D.	1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Hokke M. 4. Waem M. 5. Kreekels M. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 7. van Mieghem D. 11. Rottier E. 18. Sylla S. 23. Bal J.
Substitutes
35. Achouitar O. 2. Bonnah S. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 9. Huth E. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 21. Schwarz R. 23. Siecker J. (G) 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.	35. Bergtop S. 30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 22. Eekhout S. (G) 12. Houwaart M. 14. Jimenez M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 31. Payne D. 21. Peupion C. 27. Thomas N. 45. Tomas D.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Steffen M. ↓, Achouitar O. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Bannis N. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
40', Hokke M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Bannis N. ⚽, Schikora M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kreekels M. ↓, Peupion C. ↑,
49', van Mieghem D. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Rottier E. ⚽,
53', Pinto J. 🟨,
57', Hokke M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
57', van Mieghem D. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
64', Tomas D. 🟨,
65', Sylla S. 🟨,
67', Bal J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
79', Vlak J. ↓, Puljhun S. ↑,
80', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
86', Pinto J. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
86', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
86', Marschalk M. ↓, Driezen M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.

There will not play in Den Haag: Reischl L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.01.26	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Den Bosch - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vitesse - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	Vitesse - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWTL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	3:4 ✺
05.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Emmen	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.25	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	0:1
08.11.24	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
09.04.21	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.01.21	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:2
Club Friendly
22.08.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:0

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