The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADT Tarma 42.1%
Draw 28.3%
Cusco 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
30.5%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
29.7%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
ADT Tarma - Cusco Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 4. Biojo R. 23. Narvaez J. 13. Gomez L. 6. Ojeda A. 15. Alvino J. 8. Guivin Tanta J. 16. Perez L. 10. Cedron V. (C) 7. Rojas J. 32. Bauman J.
28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 16. Valenzuela O. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J.
Substitutes
17. Arakaki H. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 27. Hidalgo A. 31. Navarro J. 9. Rengifo H. 37. Rengifo N. 3. Rugel L. 30. Valencia J. (G) 5. Vega J.
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 32. Astudillo J. 27. Carabajal G. 37. Choi G. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 30. Quillahuaman S. 26. Silva N. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Ramirez T.
Orfila A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Colman I. ⚽, Valenzuela O. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Ojeda A. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
36', Ojeda A. 🟨,
37', Cedron V. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Tevez J. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manzaneda J. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
54', Biojo R. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
58', Colitto L. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
66', Bauman J. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
66', Perez L. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
72', Diaz P. 🟨,
75', Benites Vargas L. E. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Tevez J. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
87', Colman I. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
87', Ruidias M. ↓, Choi G. ↑,
87', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Rengifo N. ↑,
88', Fuentes A. 🟨,
90+3', Carabajal G. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
ADT is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cusco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
ADT will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in ADT: Perez L.
(Muscle Injury)
Rengifo H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Soto J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M.
(Knee Injury)
Callejo F.
(Injury)
Zevallos J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Cusco: Custodio A.
(Injury)
Herrera Joel
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).