The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADT Tarma 43.7%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Garcilaso 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
26.3%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.8%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Garcilaso's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - ADT (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 6. Ojeda A. 99. Pereyra J. 23. Narvaez J. 59. Nunez O. 26. Garcilazo J. 16. Perez L. (C) 15. Alvino J. 22. Rodriguez A. 32. Bauman J. 80. Canela Torres J. J.
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 8. Gonzalez A. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
10. Cedron V. 25. Garcia S. 31. Navarro J. 24. Peralta S. 9. Rengifo H. 2. Reyes J. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G)
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 9. Castelli F. 35. Mendoza J. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Usucar F.
Greppo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Canales E. 🟨,
44', Ojeda A. 🟨,
45+1', Nunez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcilazo J. 🟨,
67', Garcilazo J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
67', Olivares C. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
75', Alvino J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
75', Bauman J. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
79', Sandoval K. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
79', Moreno X. ↓, Rosell Delgado J. A. ↑,
80', Narvaez J. 🟥,
83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
83', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,
90+8', 0 - 1, Da Silva B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+9', Arancibia F. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
ADT could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Deportivo Garcilaso
11
7
1
3
18:7
11
22
17
AD Tarma
11
1
3
7
7:21
-14
6
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Garcilaso - the odds 4.35 are the expected chance of winning is 21.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Valencia J. (G) 
Ojeda A. 
Pereyra J. 
Narvaez J. 
Bauman J. 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Arancibia F. 
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