Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	18:45	Sport TV1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	VIX App


	AEK Athens		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	10
	1.25	5.5	9.75
	1.29	5.4	9.3
	1.27	6.24	10.87
	1.27	5.97	10.53	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.27	6.29	9.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	5.88 ↑ (5.01)	9.93 ↑ (8.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
74.5%

Draw
16%

Celje
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

17.3%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

AEK Athens - Celje Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 13. Pineda O. 18. Marin R. 8. Gacinovic M. 11. Koita A. 7. Kutesa D. 9. Jovic L.	21. Sluga S. (G) 44. Bejger L. 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 2. Juanjo Nieto (C) 13. Daniel P. 10. Seslar S. 27. Calusic I. 20. Iosifov N. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 15. Georgiev M. 17. Kaloskamis D. 20. Mantalos P. 29. Penrice J. 37. Pereyra R. 25. Varga B. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini	11. Avdyli M. 29. Gobec S. 4. Hrka D. 7. Jevsenak F. 23. Karnicnik Z. 12. Kolar L. (G) 17. Kotnik A. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 1. Leban Z. (G) 31. Suhovrsnik D. 16. Vidovic I.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Campelos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
23', Calusic I. 🟨,
37', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Pozeg R. ⚽, Juanjo Nieto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
46', Iosifov N. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
52', Gacinovic M. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
52', Kutesa D. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
62', Seslar S. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
66', Poplatnik M. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
77', Calusic I. ↓, Karnicnik Z. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 4-0. Second leg.

AEK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celje's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, AEK is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Grujic M. (Inactive) Joao Mario (Inactive) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Ljubicic R. (Inactive) Sahabo H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Celje: Pranjic J. (Inactive) Vukasovic N. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celje: Kolar L. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
15.03.26	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
Greek Super League
07.03.26	AEK Athens - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Volos - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
15.03.26	Koper - Celje	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	NK Bravo - Celje	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Celje - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4
02.10.25	Celje - AEK Athens	3:1

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