Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	AEK Athens		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	10
	1.25	5.5	9.75
	1.29	5.4	9.3
	1.27	6.24	10.87
	1.27	5.97	10.53	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.27	6.29	9.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	5.88 ↑ (5.01)	9.93 ↑ (8.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
74.5%

Draw
16%

Celje
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

18.3%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

AEK Athens - Celje Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 13. Pineda O. 18. Marin R. 8. Gacinovic M. 11. Koita A. 7. Kutesa D. 9. Jovic L.	21. Sluga S. (G) 44. Bejger L. 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 2. Juanjo Nieto (C) 13. Daniel P. 10. Seslar S. 27. Calusic I. 20. Iosifov N. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 15. Georgiev M. 17. Kaloskamis D. 20. Mantalos P. 29. Penrice J. 37. Pereyra R. 25. Varga B. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini	11. Avdyli M. 29. Gobec S. 4. Hrka D. 7. Jevsenak F. 23. Karnicnik Z. 12. Kolar L. (G) 17. Kotnik A. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 1. Leban Z. (G) 31. Suhovrsnik D. 16. Vidovic I.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Campelos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
23', Calusic I. 🟨,
37', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Pozeg R. ⚽, Juanjo Nieto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
46', Iosifov N. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
52', Gacinovic M. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
52', Kutesa D. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
62', Seslar S. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
66', Poplatnik M. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
77', Calusic I. ↓, Karnicnik Z. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 4-0. Second leg.

AEK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celje's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, AEK is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Grujic M. (Inactive) Joao Mario (Inactive) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Ljubicic R. (Inactive) Sahabo H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Celje: Pranjic J. (Inactive) Vukasovic N. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celje: Kolar L. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
15.03.26	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
Greek Super League
07.03.26	AEK Athens - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Volos - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
15.03.26	Koper - Celje	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	NK Bravo - Celje	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Celje - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4
02.10.25	Celje - AEK Athens	3:1

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