Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	AEK Athens		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2.05
	3.65	3.5	2.03	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.02
	3.68	3.43	2.07
	3.5	3.2	2	Watch
	3.52	3.54	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
26%

Draw
27.5%

Wolfsburg
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

16.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	8.2%	84.5%

AEK Athens - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (93 of 110 users predict this - 84.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.8% – 91.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches AEK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wolfsburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wolfsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wolfsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
27.09.20	AEK Athens - Lamia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	St. Gallen - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
19.09.20	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
12.09.20	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.20	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
27.09.20	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Wolfsburg - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.09.20	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Kukësi - Wolfsburg	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.09.20	Union Fürstenwalde - Wolfsburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWW

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