Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 6
Denmark	15:30	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports, True ID, True Sport 2
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2	Watch
	3.25	3.95	2.02	Watch
	3.42	3.95	2.11
	3.10	3.79	2.15	Watch
				Watch
	3.7	3.95	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.08)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
28.5%

Draw
24.8%

Bayer Leverkusen
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	8.9%	84.4%

Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 14. Seelt J. 3. Vavro D. 25. Zehnter A. 27. Arnold M. (C) 31. Gerhardt Y. 39. Wimmer P. 10. Majer L. 9. Amoura M. 17. Pejcinovic D.	1. Flekken M. (G) 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 7. Hofmann J. 30. Maza I. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 10. Tillman M. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
41. Burger J. 24. Eriksen C. 37. Hensel P. 4. Koulierakis K. 29. Muller M. (G) 7. Skov Olsen A. 32. Svanberg M. 5. Vini Souza 23. Wind J.	44. Belocian J. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 35. Kofane C. M. 4. Quansah J. 18. Sarco A. 23. Tella N. 11. Terrier M.
Coaches
Bauer D.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Hofmann J. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Tapsoba E. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Tillman M. ⚽, Schick P. (A),
34', Pejcinovic D. 🟨,
40', Amoura M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maza I. ↓, Quansah J. ↑,
46', Seelt J. ↓, Koulierakis K. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Vavro D. ⚽, Arnold M. (A),
61', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
61', Wimmer P. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
61', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
64', Tillman M. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
75', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
75', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
76', Andrich R. 🟨,
84', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
86', Poku E. ↓, Tella N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0.

Recent form of Wolfsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury) Dardai B. (Injury) Jenz M. (Muscle Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Arthur (Back Injury) Grimaldo A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	6:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen	2:4 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
22.09.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	4:3
10.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	2:0
21.10.23	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
16.04.23	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
22.10.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	2:2
20.03.22	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2

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