Match Info

National League North - Round 35

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	3.6	3.55	1.88
	3.33	4.11	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.85
	3.54	3.78	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
26%

Draw
24.8%

AFC Telford United
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.5%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

24.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Oxford City - AFC Telford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Telford will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', Fletcher A. 🟨,
90+6', Ashby J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Oxford City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Telford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Telford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Oxford City: 5.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21:7	14	23
22	AFC Telford	11	2	3	6	9:17	-8	9

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford City - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.15%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
21.02.26	Oxford City - Marine	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Leamington - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Radcliffe - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Oxford City - South Shields	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
21.02.26	South Shields - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
17.02.26	AFC Telford United - Chorley	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	AFC Telford United - Hereford	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
03.02.26	Spennymoor Town - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.11.25	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0
08.04.14	Oxford City - AFC Telford United	2:0
22.03.14	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0

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