Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.75
	1.6	3.75	6	Watch
	1.57	3.74	6.27	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6.5
	1.55	3.85	6.24	Watch
	1.6	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.76 ↑ (3.57)	6.07 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
59.5%

Draw
25%

Tranmere Rovers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

AFC Wimbledon - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 41. Hutchinson S. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 39. Pigott J. 10. Kelly J.	1. McGee L. (G) 35. Drysdale D. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 2. Norman C. 28. Khan S. 7. Morris K. 3. Bradshaw Z. 18. Jennings C. 19. Saunders H. 14. Dennis K.
Substitutes
2. Biler H. 18. Browne M. 3. Furlong J. 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)	10. Davison J. 16. Merrie C. 13. Murphy J. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 30. Patrick O. 21. Solomon S. 23. Wood C.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Adkins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Khan S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Neufville J. ⚽, Stevens M. (A),
59', Drysdale D. 🟨,
64', Pigott J. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
72', Dennis K. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
72', Saunders H. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
73', Khan S. ↓, Merrie C. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Stevens M. (Pen),
82', Kelly J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
83', Ogundere I. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
83', Bradshaw Z. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
87', Drysdale D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.

Wimbledon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tranmere is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
02.01.25	Newport County - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Chesterfield - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLW
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
11.01.25	Walsall - Tranmere Rovers	5:1 ✺
04.01.25	Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.11.24	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
20.04.24	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	3:2
30.09.23	AFC Wimbledon - Tranmere Rovers	4:1
29.04.23	AFC Wimbledon - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
19.11.22	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
English League One
21.12.19	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
English League Two
28.03.15	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1

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