Match Info

League Two - Round 41

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	6	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.75	5.5
	1.63	3.59	5.73	Watch
	1.67	3.5	6
	1.62	3.64	5.91	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	5.73 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
57.6%

Draw
26%

Harrogate Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 29. Sasu A. 14. Stevens M. 9. Bugiel O. 10. Kelly J.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 14. Sims T. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 6. Burrell W. (C) 27. Fox B. 28. Morris B. 18. Muldoon J. 24. March J. 21. Taylor E. 25. Cursons T.
Substitutes
16. Ball J. 19. Foyo O. 8. Maycock C. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 7. Tilley J. 22. Ward L. (G)	2. Asare Z. 20. Bilongo B. 8. Cornelius D. 11. Daly J. 30. Gibson L. 1. Oxley M. (G) 16. Sanderson O.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Sims T. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
42', Muldoon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Kelly J. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
73', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
73', Stevens M. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
73', Cursons T. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Smith A. ⚽, Foyo O. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

There will not play in Wimbledon: O'Toole J. J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Harrogate: Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Bilongo B. (Injury) Falkingham J. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Groin Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
01.04.25	Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Walsall - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
01.04.25	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Harrogate Town - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Chesterfield - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Newport County - Harrogate Town	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.12.24	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:3
29.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	1:1
03.10.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
07.04.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
29.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	3:2

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