Match Info

League Two - Round 43

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Newport County		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.32	3.25	3.27
	2.36	3.33	2.89	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.19)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	3.12 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newport County
41.2%

Draw
29%

Harrogate Town
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Newport County - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 15. Jenkins L. 23. Delaney R. 4. Baker M. (C) 12. Thomas J. 2. Evans C. 10. Biggins H. 5. Sprangler S. 20. Lloyd B. 16. Crole J. 24. Opoku N.	13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 21. Taylor E. 38. Brenan T. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 9. McCoulsky S.
Substitutes
6. Brennan C. 17. Davies T. 40. Jarvis C. 7. Kamwa B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 8. Smith M. 21. Spellman M.	12. Acquah E. 6. Burrell W. 24. Cass L. 20. Faulkner B. 17. Sutton L. 7. Thomson G. 33. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Fuchs Ch.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Opoku N. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽, Slater J. (A),
45', Evans J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Crole J. (A),
62', Evans C. 🟨,
68', Thomas J. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
70', Brenan T. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
70', Slater J. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
83', Crole J. 🟨,
84', Opoku N. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
84', Sprangler S. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
90+1', Crole J. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
90+4', Taylor E. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.

Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newport could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B. (Inactive) Marsh A. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Newport: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.5%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
06.04.26	Notts County - Newport County	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Newport County - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Newport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Walsall - Newport County	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Newport County - Bromley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
06.04.26	Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers	2:3 ✺
03.04.26	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Harrogate Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.10.25	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:3
15.03.25	Newport County - Harrogate Town	3:0
12.10.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:0
27.02.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:4
07.10.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	1:2
25.04.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	2:3
27.08.22	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:4

Upcoming Matches