The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 27.7%
Draw 27.2%
Tranmere Rovers 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
28.2%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
27.3%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 64.6% – 100%.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 6. Burrell W. 15. O'Connor A. 23. Jameson K. 24. Cass L. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 27. Fox B. 18. Muldoon J. 10. Bennett M. 22. Smith R.
12. Barrett J. (G) 6. Smallwood R. 5. Smith N. 4. Turnbull J. 14. Joseph J. 8. Finley S. 23. Bristow E. 3. Brough P. 29. Ironside J. 9. Dennis K. 7. Whitaker C.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 25. Cursons T. 44. Falkingham J. 14. McAleny C. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G) 7. Thomson G.
24. Blacker B. 10. Davison J. 25. Harris T. 18. Jennings C. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Norman C. 17. Solomon S.
Coaches
Weaver S.
Crosby A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Turnbull J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', O'Connor A. 🟨,
55', Fox B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
67', Cass L. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
70', Turnbull J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Norman C. ⚽,
86', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
87', Muldoon J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
90', Whitaker C. ↓, Blacker B. ↑,
90', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
90', Dennis K. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
90+1', Morris B. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Norman C. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.
Harrogate has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tranmere has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tranmere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Muldoon J.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).