Match Info

League One - Round 38

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Dale A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	AFC Wimbledon		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.32	3.15	3.05
	2.38	3.24	3.23
	2.36	3.18	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.27	3.23	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.08 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
40.3%

Draw
29.4%

Leyton Orient
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. McDonnell J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. (C) 30. Nkeng R. 37. Nelson Z. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 9. Bugiel O. 11. Browne M.	12. Dennis W. (G) 2. James T. 16. Casey K. 4. Simpson J. (C) 3. Morris J. 15. Bakinson T. 22. Abdulai A. 11. Mitchell D. 25. Wellens C. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
2. Asiimwe N. 15. Bauer P. 1. Bishop N. (G) 16. Hackford A. 8. Maycock C. 4. Reeves J. 14. Stevens M.	44. Archibald T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 8. El Mizouni I. 19. Fawunmi F. 5. Happe D. 20. Perkins S.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', O'Neill O. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
46', Casey K. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Wellens C. (A),
53', Happe D. 🟨,
57', 2 - 3, Morris J. ⚽,
68', Mitchell D. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
70', 2 - 4, Ballard D. ⚽,
74', Nelson Z. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
74', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
74', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
83', Ballard D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
84', Abdulai A. ↓, Fawunmi F. ↑,
90+5', Browne M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.

Wimbledon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leyton Orient has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L. (Inactive) Tilley J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S. (Injury) Forrester W. (Inactive) Oluwayemi T. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Outrights of English League One for now

Leyton Orient: 0.83% AFC Wimbledon: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	AFC Wimbledon	9	3	3	3	7:10	-3	12
12	Leyton Orient	9	3	2	4	13:11	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
14.03.26	Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
14.03.26	Leyton Orient - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bradford City - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.01.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:3
English League Two
04.02.23	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
08.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient	2:0
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
08.10.19	AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient	3:0
English League Two
23.04.16	AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient	1:0
28.11.15	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:1

Upcoming Matches