Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8


	APOEL		Paphos

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.3	2.15
	3.38	3.53	2.18
	3.04	3.49	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.2
	3.04	3.36	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.99)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
30.2%

Draw
27.5%

Paphos
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

APOEL - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Paphos (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Christodoulou A. (G) 2. Antoniou E. 20. Dalcio 29. Diego Rosa 9. Drazic S. 23. Kattirtzis P. 34. Laifis K. (C) 77. Mancini D. 14. Nanu 3. Stafylidis K. 15. Tomas M.	93. Michail N. (G) 30. Dragomir V. (C) 19. Guessand A. 14. Ioannou N. 11. Jaja 18. Lele 23. Luckassen D. 21. Mimovic O. 88. Pepe 8. Quina D. 26. Sunjic I.
Substitutes
36. Appiah C. 31. Brorsson F. 11. Gabriel Maioli 1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 38. Geovane Meurer 89. Koutsakos N. 78. Michos S. (G) 99. Olayinka P. 21. Poursaitidis C. 6. Vitor Meer 45. Yiannacou K.	33. Anderson Silva 9. Bassouamina M. 50. Brito A. 80. Dani Silva 72. Ioannou K. 42. Michael G. 20. Odefalk W. 17. Orsic M. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 82. Petrou P. (G) 2. Pileas K. 12. Sema K.
Coaches
Garcia P.	Celades A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Drazic S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Ioannou N. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Drazic S. ⚽,
32', Tomas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tomas M. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
60', Quina D. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
61', Dragomir V. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
62', Kattirtzis P. ↓, Poursaitidis C. ↑,
63', Drazic S. 🟨,
70', Christodoulou A. ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Olayinka P. ⚽,
80', Mancini D. ↓, Brorsson F. ↑,
80', Drazic S. ↓, Koutsakos N. ↑,
84', Luckassen D. 🟨,
85', Pepe ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
85', Guessand A. ↓, Odefalk W. ↑,
88', Koutsakos N. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Luckassen D. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Luckassen D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paphos could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in APOEL: Diamantakos D. (Muscle Injury) Geovane Meurer (Muscle Injury) Sotiriou P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Paphos: Correia J. (Inactive) Goldar D. (Muscle Injury) Pedrao (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pafos	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
9	APOEL	4	1	1	2	10:7	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	4:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Omonia - APOEL	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	APOEL - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- Paphos FC
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
08.04.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
04.02.26	Paphos - APOEL	2:0
31.08.25	APOEL - Paphos	0:1
12.05.25	APOEL - Paphos	1:1
06.04.25	Paphos - APOEL	0:1
24.02.25	APOEL - Paphos	0:2
Cypriot Cup
30.01.25	APOEL - Paphos	1:2 penalties
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Paphos - APOEL	2:1

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