Match Info

USL League One

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Finnmarkshallen (Alta)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		Texoma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.7
	1.62	3.97	4.93
	1.63	3.92	5.06	Watch
	1.55	3.88	5.11	Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.6)	3.89 ↑ (3.85)	4.9 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
57.6%

Draw
23.6%

Texoma
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

18.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AV Alta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Texoma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

AV Alta - Texoma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smith D. (G) 44. Pehlivanov K. 6. Lay O. 26. Pajaro M. 80. Martinez W. 35. Robledo H. 7. Desdunes J. 30. Blancas E. 21. Villalobos J. 19. Cruz S. 8. Alaribe E.	13. Garcia J. (G) 5. Calfo A. 12. Chavez J. 4. Kilwien P. (C) 22. Perkins W. 3. Ramos O. 2. Valentine R. 10. Spengler P. 24. Jordan J. 17. Bortniczuk M. 20. Asante S.
Substitutes
5. Alassane M. 18. Aoumaich A. 23. Avilez C. (G) 11. Cerritos A. 41. Hernandez E. 34. Huerta A. 10. Ibarra M. 17. Mariona J. 4. Mastrantonio L.	23. Baker T. 11. Domic D. 30. Jawneh L. 16. Mason D. 8. McCormick L. 1. McCready M. (G) 7. McManus B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bortniczuk M. 🟨,
38', Valentine R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perkins W. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
67', Robledo H. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
68', Mason D. 🟨,
75', Blancas E. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
76', Pajaro M. 🟨,
79', Lay O. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
81', Asante S. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
90+5', Spengler P. ↓, Domic D. ↑,
90+7', Alaribe E. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

Recent form of Alta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Texoma is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Texoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alta is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
US Open Cup
07.05.25	FC Dallas - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
30.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sacramento Republic - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	AV Alta - Orange County SC	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW
- Texoma FC
USL League One
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Texoma - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Texoma - Naples	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL

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