The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AV Alta 32.7%
Draw 28.8%
Spokane Velocity 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
27.2%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
26.5%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
AV Alta - Spokane Velocity Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Doumbia D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 44. Pehlivanov K. 4. Pajaro M. 3. Ortiz A. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 20. Antwi G. 99. Bahena Jr C. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J.
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 3. Spielman N. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 7. Gallardo J. 10. Gil L. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 11. John-Brown S.
Substitutes
19. Anderson C. 11. Aoumaich I. 16. Ceja E. 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 32. Jahng E. 12. Relerford N. 22. Smith D. (G) 15. Winum M.
9. Brett N. 37. Buck J. 14. Hernandez M. 5. Margvelashvili G. 33. Mensah M. 13. Opara L. 8. Vinyals N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Pajaro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pajaro M. ↓, Ceja E. ↑,
46', Antwi G. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
60', Higareda S. 🟨,
63', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Aoumaich I. ↑,
64', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
68', Fitch S. ↓, Opara L. ↑,
68', Gil L. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
69', Lay O. 🟨,
74', Lay O. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
74', Aoumaich A. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Anderson C. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
83', Gallardo J. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
84', Fernandez C. ↓, Margvelashvili G. ↑,
90+3', Margvelashvili G. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Spokane has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Alta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Spokane Velocity
27
14
5
8
41:36
5
47
13
AV Alta
29
8
8
13
35:42
-7
32
Last Results with these Odds
Spokane Velocity - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.