Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sacramento Republic		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.2	5.75
	1.49	4.1	5.82
	1.46	4.2	6.07	Watch
	1.44	4.28	6.53	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)	6.13 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
63.2%

Draw
21.8%

AV Alta
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Sacramento Republic - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mazzola J. (G) 4. Desmond L. 5. Timmer J. 6. Kleemann F. 8. Lopez R. 17. Wanner D. 10. Parano C. 20. Willey B. 22. Benitez M. 9. Herrera J. 11. Cicerone R.	23. Avilez C. (G) 8. Alaribe E. 4. Mastrantonio L. 26. Pajaro M. 80. Martinez W. 6. Lay O. 44. Pehlivanov K. 30. Blancas E. 35. Robledo H. 19. Cruz S. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
7. Amann T. 23. Edwards A. 24. Jamieson L. 14. Kimbrough D. 96. Luis Felipe 46. Martin J. 43. Portillo J. J. 3. Spaulding R. 1. Vitiello D. (G)	5. Alassane M. 18. Aoumaich A. 14. Apollon A. 16. Ceja E. 17. Mariona J. 22. Smith D. (G) 21. Villalobos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Desmond L. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
59', Lay O. 🟨,
59', Parano C. 🟨,
64', Lay O. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
64', Lopez R. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
64', Robledo H. ↓, Alassane M. ↑,
71', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
75', Benitez M. 🟨,
79', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
80', Blancas E. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
84', Parano C. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
84', Wanner D. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Sacramento Republic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Alta have a series of home games.

In this match Sacramento Republic is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
19.04.25	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Sacramento Republic - El Farolito	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sacramento Republic - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTL
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
19.04.25	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	AV Alta - Orange County SC	3:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
12.04.25	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	AV Alta - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.25	AV Alta - Los Angeles 2	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWW

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