Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Las Vegas Lights		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4	3.9
	2.13	3.5	3.82
	1.95	3.54	3.41	Watch
	1.98	3.66	3.29	Watch
	1.62	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.66)	3.74 ↓ (4.16)	3.68 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
49.9%

Draw
24.8%

AV Alta
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

22.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Las Vegas Lights - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ammeter N. (G) 18. Singer J. 6. Pearson C. 8. Gannon C. 13. Humphrey T. 17. Leal P. 41. Covil V. 28. Brewer S. 10. Azcona E. (C) 20. Smart S. 9. Pickering N.	23. Avilez C. (G) 5. Alassane M. 44. Pehlivanov K. 4. Mastrantonio L. 80. Martinez W. 30. Blancas E. 21. Villalobos J. 19. Cruz S. 18. Aoumaich A. 8. Alaribe E. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
23. Boudadi Y. 5. Gartig E. 96. Miller C. (G) 33. Nigro G. 27. Noel V. 11. Pinzon C. 14. Rodriguez J.	11. Cerritos A. 10. Ibarra M. 6. Lay O. 17. Mariona J. 26. Pajaro M. 35. Robledo H. 22. Smith D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Pearson C. ⚽,
13', Cruz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Blancas E. ⚽, Aoumaich A. (A),
53', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
55', Singer J. 🟨,
63', Pearson C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
63', Leal P. ↓, Pinzon C. ↑,
64', Azcona E. 🟨,
70', Aoumaich A. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
70', Gannon C. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Pickering N. ⚽, Smart S. (A),
77', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
77', Villalobos J. ↓, Robledo H. ↑,
77', Alassane M. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
85', Blancas E. 🟨,
87', Blancas E. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alta could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

Recently, Alta had a set of home games.

In this match, Las Vegas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Cup
26.04.25	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLTW
- AV Alta FC
USL Cup
26.04.25	Sacramento Republic - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	AV Alta - Orange County SC	3:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
12.04.25	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	AV Alta - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWWW

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