Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.36	3.99	1.54
	5.21	4.02	1.55	Watch
	5.3	3.9	1.53
	3.8	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.86)	3.88 ↑ (3.64)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
18.7%

Draw
23.7%

El Paso Locomotive
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.4%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Paso Locomotive's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Texoma - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 2. Valentine R. 27. Staszewski P. 5. Calfo A. 3. Ramos O. 11. Domic D. 6. Gray L. 17. Bortniczuk M. 20. Asante S. 22. Perkins W. 19. Benamna D.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Tony Alfaro 7. Romero B. 25. Ortiz A. (C) 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 21. Twumasi K. 11. Moshobane T. 28. Mora O. 20. Carter D.
Substitutes
23. Baker T. 30. Jawneh L. 24. Jordan J. 4. Kilwien P. 35. Padilla B. 26. Seeger A. (G) 10. Spengler P.	14. Avila R. 13. Cabrera A. 19. Canales M. (G) 10. Moreno A. 18. Quezada A. 31. Rodriguez E. 66. Vazquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Romero B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mora O. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
57', Benamna D. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
57', Calfo A. ↓, Kilwien P. ↑,
57', Moshobane T. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
58', Carter D. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
66', 🟨,
66', Domic D. ↓, Spengler P. ↑,
66', Bortniczuk M. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
85', Jawneh L. 🟨,
87', Twumasi K. 🟨,
90+2', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Coronado R. (Pen),
1, Kilwien P. (Pen),
2, Tony Alfaro (Pen),
2, Perkins W. (Pen),
3, Ruiz R. (Pen),
3, Padilla B. (Pen),
4, Cabrera A. (Pen),
4, Asante S. (Pen),
5, Ortiz A. (Pen),
5, Spengler P. (Pen),
6, Rodriguez E. (Pen),
6, Ramos O. (Pen),
7, Moreno A. (Pen),
7, Jawneh L. (Pen),

Preview

Texoma has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Paso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Texoma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently El Paso have a series of guest games.

In this match El Paso is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Texoma - Naples	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Texoma - Westchester SC	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Texoma - One Knoxville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
19.04.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.25	Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLWW

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