Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+


	AVS		Benfica

	1	X	2
	13	6.25	1.17	Watch
	16.5	7.5	1.16
	12.5	7.4	1.16	Watch
	13.48	8.1	1.2
	32.47	9.99	1.07	Watch
				Watch
	14	6.7	1.2	Watch
	14	6.6	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.56 ↑ (13.5)	7.51 ↑ (7.3)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
5.7%

Draw
12.6%

Benfica
81.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

79.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

AVS - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AVS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 - Benfica (3.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, 1st Half - Benfica (6.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Benfica (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Benfica (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -6 - Benfica (19.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. AVS (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Benfica (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Simao (G) 4. Bane S. 3. Paulo Vitor 42. Devenish C. 24. Kiki (C) 15. Grau J. 27. Algobia A. 14. Perea O. 17. Lourenco B. 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane	1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 5. Barrenechea E. 20. Rios R. 9. Ivanovic F. 10. Sudakov G. 8. Aursnes F. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
10. Barbosa R. 20. Duarte D. 99. Joao Goncalves (G) 23. Mendonca G. 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 8. Pedro Lima 12. Rivas D. 33. Santos A.	39. Araujo H. 44. Araujo T. 18. Barreiro L. 3. Obrador R. 25. Prestianni G. 84. Rego J. 21. Schjelderup A. 24. Soares S. (G) 68. Veloso J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Lourenco B. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
29', Silva A. 🟨,
40', Simao 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Sudakov G. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
64', 0 - 3, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
66', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
66', Perea O. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
71', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
72', Ivanovic F. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
80', Algobia A. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
80', Tomane ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
81', Dedic A. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
87', Aursnes F. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
87', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,

Preview

AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Benfica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Foot Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AVS: Rivas D. (Inactive) Santos A. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.7:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
13.09.25	Estoril Praia - AVS	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	AVS - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Braga - AVS	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	AVS - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Arouca - AVS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTLL
- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam	2:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.09.25	Benfica - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Alverca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
23.08.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.04.25	Benfica - AVS	6:0
15.12.24	AVS - Benfica	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
21.12.23	Benfica - AVS	4:1

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