Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Arouca		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.76	3.66	5.25
	1.23	5.33	15.98	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4	Watch
	1.76	3.72	5.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	6.33 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
58.5%

Draw
25.9%

AVS
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arouca's performance.

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AVS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	3.7%	3.7%

Arouca - AVS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Arouca (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Arouca (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arouca will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arouca will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Arouca (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valido J. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 3. Fontan J. (C) 5. Popovic B. 16. Sola A. 89. Pedro Santos 21. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 23. Nandin D.	93. Simao (G) 15. Grau J. 42. Devenish C. 33. Santos A. 24. Kiki (C) 27. Algobia A. 8. Pedro Lima 11. Akinsola T. 10. Barbosa R. 50. Mucuana Lobo E. J. 9. Escobar J.
Substitutes
9. Barbero I. 27. Dante A. 46. Flores M. 31. Loum M. 24. Mansilla B. 58. Mantl N. (G) 11. Puche . Simao D. 28. Tiago Esgaio	7. Duarte D. 19. Galletto T. 99. Joao Goncalves (G) . Machado A. 23. Mendonca G. . Neiva G. 18. Nene 88. Trigueira (G)
Coaches
Seabra V.	Mota J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Trezza A. ⚽, Lee H. (A),
18', Sola A. 🟨,
45+1', Alex Pinto 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sola A. ↓, Dante A. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Djouahra N. ⚽, Trezza A. (A),
57', Escobar J. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
58', Algobia A. ↓, Nene ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Trezza A. ⚽,
66', Pedro Lima ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
71', Fukui T. ↓, Simao D. ↑,
71', Djouahra N. ↓, Puche ↑,
77', Pedro Santos ↓, Flores M. ↑,
81', Barbosa R. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
81', Mucuana Lobo E. J. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
86', Lee H. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Nene ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Arouca is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Arouca: Simao D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Arouca: Gozalbez P. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Arouca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Arouca - Boavista	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arouca - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Arouca - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Varzim - AVS	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
01.06.25	Vizela - AVS	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	AVS - Vizela	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	AVS - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.03.25	AVS - Arouca	0:1
05.10.24	Arouca - AVS	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
26.09.23	AVS - Arouca	1:2

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