Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Tondela		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	1.88	3.25	4.25	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.95
	1.83	3.44	4.65	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.5
	1.92	3.43	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)	3.33 ↓ (3.62)	4.5 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
50.7%

Draw
28.3%

AVS
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Tondela - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 44. Silva J. 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 27. Conceicao R. 7. Pedro Maranhao 10. Hodge J. 8. Tavares H. (C) 90. Aiko M. 23. Kimpioka B.	1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 33. Santos A. 26. Ponck (C) 12. Rivas D. 23. Mendonca G. 70. Roni 8. Pedro Lima 25. Green A. 7. Tomane 14. Perea O.
Substitutes
5. Afonso J. 30. Canizares L. (G) 48. Manso T. 60. Maviram E. 70. Ouattara M. 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Siebatcheu J. 15. Sithole S. 26. van der Heide A.	11. Akinsola T. 20. Duarte D. 19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 5. Molina G. 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 35. Semedo R. 93. Simao (G)
Coaches
Bacci C.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ponck 🟨,
29', Roni ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
31', Galletto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Perea O. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
65', Green A. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
68', Silva J. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
73', Tavares H. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
84', Rivas D. ↓, Kiki ↑,
85', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
87', Conceicao R. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
88', Bebeto ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
89', Aiko M. ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tondela is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
09.03.26	Tondela - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Estrela da Amadora - Tondela	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tondela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Estoril Praia - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWTT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
15.03.26	AVS - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	AVS - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Benfica - AVS	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.11.25	AVS - Tondela	2:2
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.24	AVS - Tondela	0:1
14.01.24	Tondela - AVS	3:2

Tondela - AVS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide