What is the expert prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahçe?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahçe. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahçe Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 07, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Portugal	DAZN 4
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.05	3.45	2.32
	3.13	3.5	2.38
	3.07	3.43	2.31	Watch
	3	3.5	2.3
	3.1	3.69	2.37
	3.1	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.55)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.33 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
31.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fenerbahçe
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	42.9%	46.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 5. Penetra 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 33. Kwakman D. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 17. Addai J. 9. Parrott T. 23. Lahdo M.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Soyuncu C. 16. Muldur M. 13. Fred 5. Yuksek I. 34. Amrabat S. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 10. Tadic D.
Substitutes
37. Daal R. 52. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 30. Kasius D. 35. Meerdink M. 26. Smit K. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)	3. Akaydin S. 95. Akcicek Y. 80. Akyazi K. 54. Cetin E. (G) 42. Dursun M. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 19. En Nesyri Y. 53. Szymanski S. 81. Tograk S. 23. Tosun C. 8. Yandas M.
Coaches
Martens M.	Gole Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Lahdo M. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
49', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
51', Mijnans S. 🟨,
54', Yuksek I. 🟨,
57', Yuksek I. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
57', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Daal R. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
62', En Nesyri Y. (Pen),
63', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
64', Addai J. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
72', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
72', de Wit M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Smit K. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
79', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
81', Muldur M. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
84', Fred 🟨,
86', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Kasius D. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
88', Maikuma S. ↓, Goes W. ↑,
90+2', Daal R. 🟨,
90+4', Dzeko E. 🟨,

Preview

AZ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fenerbahçe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in AZ: Buurmeester Z. (Injury) Sadiq I. (Muscle Injury) Wolfe D. M. (Red Card) van Bommel R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Muscle Injury) Schouten L. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
27.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
03.11.24	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
20.10.24	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Twente - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.01.19	Fenerbahçe - AZ Alkmaar	3:2

AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide