Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tottenham Hotspur		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5
	1.46	4.8	6.25
	1.48	4.75	6.5
	1.5	4.8	6.22
	1.49	4.71	6.01	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.5	4.59	6.91
	1.48	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	4.68 ↑ (4.49)	6.36 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
64.5%

Draw
20.5%

AZ Alkmaar
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	4.4%	14.7%

Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (55 of 67 users predict this - 82.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.91% – 91.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. 37. van de Ven M. 24. Spence D. 10. Maddison J. 15. Bergvall L. 29. Sarr P. M. 28. Odobert W. 19. Solanke D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C)	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 28. Buurmeester Z. 6. Koopmeiners P. 11. Sadiq I. 9. Parrott T. 21. Poku E.
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 33. Davies B. 14. Gray A. 22. Johnson B. 47. Moore M. 44. Scarlett D. 11. Tel M. 13. Udogie D. 41. Whiteman A. (G)	14. Belic K. 49. Bouziane W. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 52. Dijkstra E. 4. Martins Indi B. 35. Meerdink M. 26. Smit K. 78. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Odobert W. ⚽, Solanke D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sadiq I. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Maddison J. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
61', van de Ven M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Koopmeiners P. ⚽,
68', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Odobert W. ⚽, Solanke D. (A),
78', Odobert W. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
78', Maddison J. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
80', Maikuma S. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
84', Bergvall L. ↓, Davies B. ↑,
87', Goes W. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
90+5', Clasie J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Tottenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AZ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tottenham is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Yellow Cards) Danso K. (Hamstring Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Forster F. (Inactive) Kinsky A. (Inactive) Kulusevski D. (Foot Injury) Reguilon S. (Inactive) Richarlison (Calf Injury) Werner T. (Inactive)

There will not play in AZ: Addai J. (Ankle Injury) Meerdink M. (Muscle Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Davies B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Lahdo M. (Injury) Schouten L. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
09.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ipswich Town - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWW
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.02.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
24.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	1:0

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