Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AZ Alkmaar		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.50	15.00	Watch
	1.17	8.50	13.50
	1.12	8.50	17.00
	1.15	9.49	16.61
	1.16	8.37	14.68	Watch
	1.13	9.40	16.00
	1.16	8.82	14.80	Watch
	1.14	8.40	14.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.13)	8.75 ↑ (8.47)	15.2 ↓ (15.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
82.9%

Draw
10.9%

Willem II
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

AZ Alkmaar - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Willem II (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - AZ (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 3 - 75%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 14. Stengs C. 21. Kwakman D. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.	26. Delanghe M. (G) 22. van Loon P. 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 19. van Aalst U. 6. Twigt C. 52. Vilhena T. 7. Slory J. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
17. Byskov V. 34. de Wit M. 29. Hoedt W. 19. Hornkamp J. 31. Ichihara R. 18. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati	8. Boogaard K. 2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 50. Gurbuz E. 83. Lemmens M. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 28. Verheydt T.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Vilhena T. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Clasie J. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Stengs C. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
64', Clasie J. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
70', Vilhena T. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
70', van Loon P. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
78', Meerdink M. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, ter Avest H. (A),
88', Kwakman D. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
88', Daal R. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
88', Slory J. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
90+3', Dekker M. ↓, Lemmens M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.

AZ has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Willem II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Willem II has had a series of home games.

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AZ: Kasius D. (Groin Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Smit K. (Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Culum A. (Foot Injury) Didillon Hodl T. (Hamstring Injury) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Zarrouk A. (Surgery)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

AZ Alkmaar: 4.19% Willem II: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
06.09.26	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
05.09.26	Willem II - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Willem II - OFI	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	0:2
10.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:2
20.03.22	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	2:2
18.12.21	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	4:1
03.04.21	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	0:1
20.12.20	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	5:3
18.01.20	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:3

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