Match Info

Date: 9 December 2021, Thursday


	AZ Alkmaar		Randers FC

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2	3.6	3.3
	2.15	3.75	3.15
	2.18	3.4	3.05
	2.18	3.68	3.17
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.13	3.62	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	3.18 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
44.2%

Draw
26.3%

Randers FC
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

18.4%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Randers FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AZ Alkmaar - Randers FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

AZ has currently - 11, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (53%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Randers has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (66%), has a chance of 3rd (34%), has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Randers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AZ will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
05.12.21	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
02.12.21	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.11.21	Jablonec - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.11.21	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTTT
- Randers FC
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.12.21	Randers FC - OB Odense	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
28.11.21	Brøndby - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.11.21	Randers FC - CFR Cluj	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
21.11.21	Randers FC - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	4:1 ✺
07.11.21	Aalborg BK - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
16.09.21	Randers FC - AZ Alkmaar	2:2

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