Match Info

Date: 25 November 2021, Thursday


	Jablonec		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.65
	4.5	4.1	1.65
	4.75	4.2	1.67
	4.9	4	1.6
	4.95	4.08	1.7
	4	3.7	1.75
	4.85	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.13)	4.04 ↑ (3.96)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
20.2%

Draw
23.3%

AZ Alkmaar
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

23.6%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

19%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Jablonec - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). AZ will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Jablonec has currently - 5, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a chance of 2nd (47%), has a chance of 3rd (47%), has a small chance of round of 16 (9%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AZ has currently - 10, has a very good chance of 1st (98%), has a very small chance of 2nd (2%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (99%), has a good chance of qtrs (53%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jablonec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AZ is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jablonec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
21.11.21	Slavia Prague - Jablonec	5:0 ✺
Czech Cup
11.11.21	Jablonec - Varnsdorf	4:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
07.11.21	Zlín - Jablonec	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	Randers FC - Jablonec	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
31.10.21	Jablonec - Pardubice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
20.11.21	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	AZ Alkmaar - CFR Cluj	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.10.21	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:2 ✺
24.10.21	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
30.09.21	AZ Alkmaar - Jablonec	1:0

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