Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 1

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Aalesunds		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.18
	3.08	3.87	2.25
	3.06	3.9	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	2.95	3.76	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	3.76 ↓ (3.83)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
31.6%

Draw
25.2%

Lillestrøm SK
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

24.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 2 - 40%). Lillestrøm (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klaesson K. (G) 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 22. Engqvist E. 7. Nesso K. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. (C) 16. Orsahl J. 39. Lonebu K. 20. Djantou I.	12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 5. Foss S. 3. Ottesen S. 8. Karlsbakk M. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 17. Kitolano E. 20. Felix Va 10. Olsen T. (C) 15. Drammeh S.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 3. Gudmundsson O. 4. Haram S. 11. Johannsson D. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 15. Osenbroch E. 27. Reed M. 25. Syversen U.	7. Alperud L. 9. Arierhi K. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 19. Jebara C. 23. Jenssen U. 22. Kitolano J. 18. Krygard K. 14. Nyheim G. 6. Woxen H.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Felix Va ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Olsen T. ⚽,
61', Orsahl J. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
61', Djantou I. ↓, Reed M. ↑,
62', Felix Va 🟨,
73', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
75', Engqvist E. 🟨,
75', Felix Va ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
76', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
78', Olsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 1 - 3, Olsen T. ⚽,
80', Hammer H. ↓, Osenbroch E. ↑,
80', Lonebu K. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
81', Garnas E. B. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
90+1', Kitolano E. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
90+2', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1.

In recent matches, Lillestrøm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lillestrøm could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Ngongo P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
14	Aalesund	22	4	9	9	35:50	-15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Lillestrøm SK - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian NM Cup
09.03.26	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.12.25	Aalesunds - Bryne	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bryne - Aalesunds	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.03.26	Hamarkameratene - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.02.26	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Lillestrøm SK - Kongsvinger	2:4 ✺
17.02.26	Lillestrøm SK - Haugesund	7:1 ✺
13.02.26	Lillestrøm SK - Strømsgodset	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	5:1
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.09.23	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
19.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	5:1
06.11.22	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.22	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	2:0

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