Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)

Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)


	Aarau		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.5	3.85	2.28
	2.8	3.9	2.32
	2.55	3.5	2.3
	2.71	3.9	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)	3.71 ↑ (3.57)	2.28 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
35%

Draw
24.8%

Lausanne-Sport
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aarau - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarau won 1.

Aarau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lausanne-Sport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lausanne-Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aarau won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarau won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
23.05.23	Yverdon - Aarau	1:1 ✺
19.05.23	Aarau - Schaffhausen	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Vaduz - Aarau	0:1 ✺
05.05.23	Aarau - Wil 1900	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Bellinzona - Aarau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTW
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Challenge League
23.05.23	Lausanne-Sport - Wil 1900	2:0 ✺
19.05.23	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	3:3 ✺
12.05.23	Lausanne-Sport - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Lausanne-Sport - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
03.02.23	Lausanne-Sport - Aarau	4:1
27.11.22	Lausanne-Sport - Aarau	2:2
29.07.22	Aarau - Lausanne-Sport	1:2
Swiss Cup
26.10.21	Aarau - Lausanne-Sport	0:1
Swiss Challenge League
03.07.20	Aarau - Lausanne-Sport	5:4
16.02.20	Lausanne-Sport - Aarau	1:0
18.10.19	Aarau - Lausanne-Sport	1:3

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