Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Aberdeen		PAOK

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.65	3.59	2.11
	3.61	3.59	2.09
	3.3	3.5	1.95
	3.5	3.52	2.03
	3.5	3.55	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
27.1%

Draw
26.9%

PAOK
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	15%	70%

Aberdeen - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 15%). PAOK will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Roos K. (G) 2. Devlin N. 6. Gartenmann S. 33. Rubezic S. 5. Jensen R. 3. MacKenzie J. 21. Polvara D. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 8. Barron C. 7. McGrath J. 9. Miovski B.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Vieirinha (C) 15. Troost-Ekong W. 4. Koulierakis K. 55. Rafa 6. Tsingaras T. 22. Schwab S. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
10. Clarkson L. 30. Dadia O. 31. Doohan R. (G) 11. Duk 23. Duncan R. 14. Gueye P. 17. Hayes J. 27. MacDonald A. 32. Marshall F. 28. Milne J. 19. Sokler E. 18. Williams R.	21. Baba A. R. 77. Despodov K. 16. Kedziora T. 19. Lyratzis L. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 27. Ozdoev M. 33. Samatta M. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 95. Tzimas S. 29. Vrakas G. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Robson B.	Lucescu R.

Preview

Aberdeen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PAOK is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

PAOK will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Aberdeen: McGarry J. (Muscle Injury) Morris S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Marcos Antonio (Muscle Injury) Meite S. (Red Card) Soares F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
08.10.23	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aberdeen - HJK	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
30.09.23	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.09.23	Ross County - Aberdeen	1:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
24.09.23	Aberdeen - Ross County	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TTWWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
22.10.23	PAOK - Atromitos Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	PAOK - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.10.23	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:2 ✺
27.09.23	PAOK - Volos	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	PAS Giannina - PAOK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWW

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