Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Aberdeen		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.62
	4.95	3.7	1.68
	5.35	3.97	1.67
	4.96	3.94	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.65
	4.86	4.31	1.63
	5.33	3.8	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.9)	3.97 ↑ (3.86)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
19%

Draw
23.8%

Strasbourg
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.2%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Aberdeen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Aberdeen - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Strasbourg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Aberdeen (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 10%). Strasbourg (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) 2. Devlin N. (C) 22. Milne J. 5. Knoester M. 38. Lobban D. 7. Aouchiche A. 16. Armstrong S. 28. Jensen A. 81. Keskinen T. 17. Karlsson J. 27. Lazetic M.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. (C) 24. Hogsberg L. 2. Omobamidele A. 3. Chilwell B. 17. Amougou M. 41. Nzingoula R. 83. Luis R. 20. Godo M. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 16. Paez K.
Substitutes
10. Clarkson L. 26. Dorrington A. 77. Gyamfi E. 11. Milanovic N. 6. Nilsen S. 15. Nisbet K. 18. Palaversa A. 8. Polvara D. 4. Shinnie G. 13. Suman N. (G) 41. Vitols R. (G) 9. Yengi K.	50. Bajic S. (G) 32. Barco V. 6. Doukoure I. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 80. Lemarechal F. 7. Moreira D. 11. Nanasi S. 9. Panichelli J. 23. Sarr M.
Coaches
Thelin J.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Knoester M. 🟨,
20', Paez K. 🟨,
33', Luis R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Godo M. ⚽, Amo-Ameyaw S. (A),
39', Doue G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Luis R. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
59', Paez K. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
59', Doue G. ↓, Doukoure I. ↑,
65', Lazetic M. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
66', Keskinen T. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
71', Godo M. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
72', Doukoure I. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Lobban D. 🟨,
78', Devlin N. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
78', Armstrong S. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
78', Knoester M. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
82', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
84', Nzingoula R. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,

Preview

Aberdeen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Strasbourg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G. (Knee Injury) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Ouattara A. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Inactive) Johnsson K. (Inactive) Oyedele M. (Groin Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
06.12.25	Dundee - Aberdeen	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Aberdeen - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
23.11.25	Aberdeen - Hearts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWTW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Strasbourg - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Lens - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW

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