Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Strasbourg		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.3
	1.82	3.9	4.41
	1.84	3.75	4.02	Watch
	1.83	3.87	4.41	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.8 ↑ (3.74)	4.3 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
52.6%

Draw
25.1%

Brest
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.7%	11.5%	5.8%

Strasbourg - Brest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Strasbourg (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Brest (4.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (42 of 51 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.89% – 92.81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Brest (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 2. Omobamidele A. 23. Sarr M. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 22. Doue G. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 6. Doukoure I. 29. El Mourabet S. 16. Paez K. 19. Enciso J. 9. Panichelli J.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 99. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
50. Bajic S. (G) 10. Emegha E. 20. Godo M. 24. Hogsberg L. 83. Luis R. 7. Moreira D. 11. Nanasi S. 41. Nzingoula R. 5. Sylla A.	17. Balde M. 18. Bourgault J. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 50. Jauny N. (G) 14. Labeau Lascary R. 26. Le Cardinal J. 36. Le Guen R. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Chilwell B. (A),
44', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chardonnet B. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
57', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
57', Paez K. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
65', Mboup P. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
69', Chilwell B. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
76', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
76', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Magnetti H. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
85', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
90', Ajorque L. 🟨,
90+2', Lala K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.

Recent performances by Strasbourg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Red Card) Johnsson K. (Inactive) Ouattara A. (Hamstring Injury) Oyedele M. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Coulibaly S. (Loan agreement) Locko B. (Thigh Injury) Majecki R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Magnetti H. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Strasbourg - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Lens - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Häcken - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Brest - Metz	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Strasbourg - Brest	0:0
30.11.24	Brest - Strasbourg	3:1
24.02.24	Strasbourg - Brest	0:3
07.12.23	Brest - Strasbourg	1:1
05.03.23	Strasbourg - Brest	0:1
04.09.22	Brest - Strasbourg	1:1
07.05.22	Brest - Strasbourg	0:1

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