Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lens		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.55	3.2
	2.06	3.85	3.53
	1.95	3.83	3.52	Watch
	2.18	3.76	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.97)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	3.34 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
45.6%

Draw
25.7%

Strasbourg
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	2.9%	5.9%

Lens - Strasbourg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lens (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Strasbourg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.	39. Penders M. (G) 24. Hogsberg L. 23. Sarr M. 3. Chilwell B. 22. Doue G. 32. Barco V. 29. El Mourabet S. 7. Moreira D. 80. Lemarechal F. 10. Emegha E. (C) 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
23. Abdulhamid S. 26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 29. Guilavogui M. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 11. Nanasi S. 41. Nzingoula R. 2. Omobamidele A. 5. Sylla A.
Coaches
Sage P.	Kuentz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hogsberg L. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
61', Lemarechal F. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
61', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
68', Doue G. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Ganiou I. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
75', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
75', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
77', Barco V. 🟥,
77', Thomasson A. 🟨,
85', Moreira D. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
85', Edouard O. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
90+1', Doue G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
90+5', Guilavogui M. 🟥,
90+6', Sotoca F. 🟨,
90+7', Emegha E. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.

Lens is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Strasbourg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Yellow Cards) Machado D. (Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Red Card) Oyedele M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Sow S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 48.4%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Monaco - Lens	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Lens - Lorient	3:0 ✺
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Häcken - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Lens - Strasbourg	0:2
06.10.24	Strasbourg - Lens	2:2
10.02.24	Lens - Strasbourg	3:1
29.09.23	Strasbourg - Lens	0:1
07.04.23	Lens - Strasbourg	2:1
11.01.23	Strasbourg - Lens	2:2
03.04.22	Strasbourg - Lens	1:0

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