Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Abergavenny Town		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.18
	9.02	5.73	1.21
	9.03	5.73	1.21
	11.6	5.95	1.19
	10	5.8	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.13 ↑ (4.64)	5.84 ↑ (4.5)	1.2 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abergavenny Town
8.9%

Draw
15.5%

Ammanford
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

19.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abergavenny Town's form might have worsened.

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ammanford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abergavenny Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ammanford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ammanford in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ammanford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ammanford have a series of guest games.

In this match Ammanford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ammanford to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
23.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Cambrian United - Abergavenny Town	6:0 ✺
09.02.24	Llanelli - Abergavenny Town	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3 ✺
20.01.24	Trefelin - Abergavenny Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
02.03.24	Cambrian United - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Ammanford - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Ammanford - Abergavenny Town	3:1
25.11.22	Abergavenny Town - Ammanford	0:0
29.08.22	Ammanford - Abergavenny Town	2:1

Abergavenny Town - Ammanford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide