Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)

Referee: Pratt N. (Wal)


	Aberystwyth Town		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	2.85	3.6	2.21
	2.85	3.56	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.79	3.55	2.26
	2.85	3.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
32%

Draw
25.9%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

25.3%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

23%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aberystwyth will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Briton Ferry will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jones D. (G) 4. Bradford L. 7. Evans J. 9. Flint N. 11. Hartley Z. 8. Lewis I. 10. Owen J. 27. Patterson R. 23. Sharif A. 6. Thorn J. 2. Walsh L.	13. Fuller W. (G) 7. Brock T. 16. Davies R. 22. Dyer R. 4. Gammond A. 11. Hurford C. 24. Jenkins K. 8. Price T. 3. Sanca N. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.
Substitutes
22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 26. Diboe C. 15. Duggan I. 17. Huxley C. 12. Mason T. 21. Osment S. (G)	2. Bates L. 10. Bowen L. 14. Demery C. 20. Payne J. 23. Rickard J. 17. Sage E. 1. Wilson R. (G)
Coaches
Corbisiero A.	Dyer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Patterson R. ↓, Huxley C. ↑,
61', Hartley Z. ↓, Diboe C. ↑,
62', Davies R. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
63', Brock T. ↓, Sage E. ↑,
69', Dyer R. ↓, Demery C. ↑,
77', Walters T. ↓, Bowen L. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Demery C. ⚽,
86', Flint N. ↓, Darlington A. ↑,
90', Sharif A. ↓, Mason T. ↑,
90+5', Walsh L. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Aberystwyth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Briton Ferry is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Briton Ferry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.5:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.03.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
28.02.25	Aberystwyth Town - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.02.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.03.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Newtown	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	3:4 ✺
22.02.25	Flint Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
01.02.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	2:3
11.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:6
02.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	4:0
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1

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