The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gap Connahs Quay 75.4%
Draw 15.7%
Aberystwyth Town 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.5%
17.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
16.3%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.
Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 2. Disney J. (C) 10. Durrant S. 14. Edwards N. 17. Hughes R. 3. Marriott Ch. 25. Owens K. 22. Poole D. 4. Roberts D. 18. Woodcock M. 8. Wright O.
1. Jones D. (G) 4. Bradford L. (C) 28. Darlington A. 16. Davies B. 17. Huxley C. 8. Lewis I. 12. Mason T. 10. Owen J. 27. Patterson R. 23. Sharif A. 2. Walsh L.
Substitutes
46. Barnes B. 11. Bratley C. 9. Ferguson C. 7. Kenny J. 42. Morris H. R. 20. Rushton J. (G) 21. Williams A.
14. Davies S. 26. Diboe C. 15. Duggan I. 21. Osment S. (G) 5. Walton L.
Coaches
Paynter B.
Corbisiero A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Davies B. ↓, Diboe C. ↑,
57', Owens K. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
57', Durrant S. ↓, Bratley C. ↑,
57', Lewis I. ↓, Duggan I. ↑,
62', 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Wright O. ⚽,
65', Kenny J. 🟨,
67', Woodcock M. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
71', Huxley C. 🟨,
74', Edwards N. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
85', Walsh L. ↓, Walton L. ↑,
89', Williams A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Kenny J. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Connahs Quay won 2.
Recent matches Connahs Quay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Aberystwyth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aberystwyth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Connahs Quay is certain favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Connahs Quay won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 47:18 (average 2.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Connahs Quay won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:5 (average 2.6:0.5).
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Ratcliffe G. (G) 
Disney J. (C) 
Durrant S. 
Owens K. 
Woodcock M. 
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