Match Info

Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.01	6.05
	1.36	4.94	7.19	Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	4.97 ↓ (5.2)	6.8 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
68.1%

Draw
18.5%

Cwmbran Celtic
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

11.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aberystwyth Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+4%)

Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberystwyth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
90+7', Davies B. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Aberystwyth have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Aberystwyth is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLTW
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
06.09.25	Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Newport City	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
08.08.25	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLL

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