Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	3.08	3.25	2.4
	3.08	3.24	2.4
	2.99	3.25	2.28
	2.9	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
31.3%

Draw
28.7%

Felgueiras
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.2%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

30.6%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 12. Vitinha 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 75. Costa D. 42. Tavares A. 16. Gomes V. 17. Henrique L. 77. Seco H. 9. Perea J. 79. Silva J.	24. Pinto B. (G) 21. Cassio L. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 77. Andrade D. 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 30. Feliz 9. Carlos Eduardo 11. Pereira M.
Substitutes
7. Filipe G. 33. Gabriel V. 10. Lourenco F. 30. Rodrigues M. 91. Santos B. (G) 11. Teles D. 19. Veiga T. 21. Victor J. 22. Xico	22. Bruninho 27. Ca L. 14. Lemos I. M. 20. Moura M. 18. Pereira G. 28. Rosas P. 90. Santos J. 1. Sao Bento V. (G) 13. Takahashi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
38', Perea J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perea J. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
46', Silva J. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
47', Gomes V. ↓, Lourenco F. ↑,
56', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
63', Vitinha ↓, Gabriel V. ↑,
63', Seco H. ↓, Xico ↑,
66', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Santos J. ↑,
74', Feliz ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
78', Tavares A. 🟨,
80', Gabriel V. 🟨,
80', Pereira G. 🟨,
90+3', Santos J. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Amaro D. ⚽,
90+7', Silva A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Académica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Felgueiras - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Felgueiras - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Felgueiras - Varzim	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1

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