Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Académico de Viseu		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.65
	1.81	3.64	5.05
	1.57	4.06	5.37	Watch
	1.77	3.44	4.68	Watch
	1.64	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)	3.62 ↓ (4.06)	4.83 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
54.9%

Draw
25.8%

Penafiel
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Académico de Viseu - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Penafiel (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 2. Michelis N. 41. Correia A. 57. Costa G. 14. Messeguem S. 7. Silva L. (C) 32. Zamora A. 17. Kahraman C. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis	32. Femenias J. (G) 22. Xico 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 2. lano Imbene 36. Dani Molina 8. Reko 88. Alves R. 20. Santos A. 19. Alcaina R. 37. Davo
Substitutes
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 21. Domingos T. 47. Gohi L. 8. Kone S. 22. Mortimer N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T.	31. Balde M. (G) 3. Gustavo Fernandes 61. Injai M. 27. Negrao G. 21. Pedro Sa 14. Pereira B. 95. Sery J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P.
Coaches
Fonseca S.	Aira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alves R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Correia A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Andre Clovis ⚽,
66', lano Imbene 🟨,
69', Santos A. 🟨,
72', Joao Guilherme 🟨,
72', Alcaina R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
72', lano Imbene ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
73', Kahraman C. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
73', Correia A. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
78', Joao Guilherme ↓, Silva B. ↑,
81', Alves R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Pereira R. ⚽, Messeguem S. (A),
86', Zamora A. ↓, Gohi L. ↑,
87', Costa G. ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,
87', Xico ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
88', Dani Molina ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
89', Silva L. 🟨,
90', Silva B. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 3.

Viseu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Penafiel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Viseu is a strong favorite.

We predict that Viseu will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	AVS - Académico de Viseu	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Académico de Viseu - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
30.10.25	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
23.11.25	Marítimo - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vizela - Penafiel	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Farense - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Penafiel - Feirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.25	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:0
26.10.24	Penafiel - Académico de Viseu	0:2
10.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:0
02.09.23	Penafiel - Académico de Viseu	0:0
07.05.23	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	0:0
31.12.22	Penafiel - Académico de Viseu	1:2
13.05.22	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:2

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