Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)


	Alverca		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.82	3.15	4.3
	1.86	3.29	5.07
	1.8	3.36	4.71	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.46	4.77
	1.82	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	4.55 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
51.3%

Draw
28.3%

Mafra
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alverca - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 3. Alysson 5. Varela F. 16. Pires M. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	1. Fraisl M. (G) 14. Alves K. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 29. Rossi R. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 80. Goncalves V. 10. Fale M. 9. Nibe A. 15. Guilherme (C) 90. Etim F.
Substitutes
20. Bukia A. 1. Cristian (G) 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 89. Joao Marcos 4. Mendonca I. 12. Reinaldo 74. Shinga K. 36. Thauan Lara	60. Barros G. 16. Djabi A. 19. Iheanacho S. 22. Lemos F. (G) 8. Lucas Gabriel 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 95. Rochez B. 39. Souza A.
Coaches
Costa V.	Alves P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Carter A. ⚽,
32', Beni D. 🟨,
38', Pires M. 🟨,
40', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
41', Alves K. 🟨,
43', Alysson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fale M. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
54', Guilherme ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
54', Martins D. ↓, Shinga K. ↑,
68', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
68', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
68', Brenner ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
74', Nibe A. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
82', Andrezinho ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
82', Goncalves V. ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
82', Alves K. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
90+2', Lucas Gabriel 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 0, Joao Marcos (Pen),
90+7', Bukia A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alverca is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alverca to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
23.02.25	Leixões - Alverca	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alverca - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Alverca	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Alverca - Leiria	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Felgueiras - Alverca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWTWW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.25	Mafra - Vizela	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Mafra - Chaves	0:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
02.02.25	Brentford B - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.25	Portimonense - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Alverca - Mafra	3:3

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