Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Acassuso		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.72
	3.15	3.15	2.23
				Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.62
	2.66	3.04	2.6
	2.17	3.08	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.14)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	2.63 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
34.7%

Draw
30.4%

Excursionistas
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excursionistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Acassuso - Excursionistas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Acassuso (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Dordoni B. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. 5. De Stefano D. 10. Hermoso A. 7. Ramirez U. 9. Escalante D. 11. Senn F.	1. Cajal N. (G) 4. Schiavulli T. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Cahais M. 3. Arango M. 8. Zoratti G. 5. Peralta C. 11. Velazco N. 10. Vera I. 7. Puleio I. 9. Zarate J.
Substitutes
20. Habib T. 19. Hernandez B. 17. Mino B. 16. Mino L. 13. Penalva V. 14. Ponce J. 18. Rey L. 15. Robles E. 12. Tursi F. (G)	14. Abre F. 17. Cardozo M. 16. Lopez M. 13. Mosca N. 19. Pata L. 18. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Sosa F. 12. Vergara F. (G) 15. Zarco H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
28', 0 - 2, Zoratti G. ⚽,
29', Escalante D. 🟨,
40', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ramirez U. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Vera I. ⚽,
54', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
54', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
58', De Stefano D. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
58', Etcheverri R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
59', Hermoso A. ↓, Mino B. ↑,
60', 1 - 3, Habib T. ⚽,
60', Mino B. 🟨,
69', Vera I. ↓, Abre F. ↑,
73', Escalante D. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Dubini K. ⚽,
78', Peralta C. ↓, Mosca N. ↑,
78', Zarate J. ↓, Zarco H. ↑,
82', Puleio I. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
85', Zarco H. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Serrizuela J. ⚽,
90+6', Abre F. 🟨,

Preview

Acassuso is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Excursionistas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Excursionistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Acassuso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Acassuso will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.25	Brown de Adrogué - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Acassuso - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Acassuso - Argentino de Quilmes	5:2 ✺
14.06.25	Villa Dálmine - Acassuso	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
09.07.25	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.02.25	Excursionistas - Acassuso	1:1
24.08.24	Acassuso - Excursionistas	1:1
06.04.24	Excursionistas - Acassuso	2:1
08.04.17	Excursionistas - Acassuso	0:0
24.09.16	Acassuso - Excursionistas	1:1

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