Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)


	Accrington Stanley		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.85
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.6	3.75	1.87	Watch
	3.82	3.7	1.9
	3.82	3.7	1.9
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.65	3.72	1.88
	3.45	3.6	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.02)	3.65 ↑ (3.59)	1.88 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
25.7%

Draw
25.3%

Bolton Wanderers
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

24.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Walsh J. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 5. Hills B. 16. Gubbins J. 2. Shipley L. 28. Conneely S. 22. Martin D. 10. Pritchard J. (C) 30. Henderson A. 17. Nolan J. 39. Woods J.	13. Coleman J. (G) 15. Forrester W. 18. Toal E. 3. Iredale J. (C) 16. Morley A. 41. Matheson L. 19. Maghoma P. 22. Dempsey K. 26. Ashworth Z. 35. Jerome C. 9. Bodvarsson J.
Substitutes
26. Adekoya L. 11. McConville S. 61. McIntyre J. (G) 4. Mellor K. 25. Pickles A. 12. Quirk S. 27. Trickett L.	14. Adeboyejo V. 1. Baxter N. (G) 10. Charles D. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 5. Santos R. 8. Sheehan J. 27. Williams R.
Coaches
Coleman J.	Evatt I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.

Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolton is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
01.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Salford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.23	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Accrington Stanley - Walsall	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWT
- Bolton Wanderers
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English League One
01.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
29.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.04.23	Bolton Wanderers - Accrington Stanley	0:1
English EFL Trophy
22.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
English League One
22.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	2:3
18.04.22	Bolton Wanderers - Accrington Stanley	3:1
11.12.21	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
29.02.20	Bolton Wanderers - Accrington Stanley	0:0
English EFL Trophy
10.12.19	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	2:0

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