The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 25.8%
Draw 27.3%
Wycombe Wanderers 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27.6%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
27.5%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wycombe Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Accrington Stanley - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Wycombe will win (votes: 24 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wycombe: 60% – 90%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
Accrington has the most likely position - 23 (19.15%), has project points - 44, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wycombe has the most likely position - 7 (22.45%), has project points - 78, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality17, importance42, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wycombe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Wycombe will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Accrington won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.
Watch
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