The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wycombe Wanderers 23.2%
Draw 26.4%
Derby County 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
28.5%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
29.7%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
5.3%
73.7%
Wycombe Wanderers - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Derby will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 53.9% – 93.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 17. Low J. 6. Tafazolli R. 22. Lonwijk N. 19. Potts F. 8. Butcher M. 30. Lubala B. 20. Taylor D. 23. Sadlier K. 24. Kone R.
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 2. Wilson K. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 17. Sibley L. 14. Washington C. 12. Smith K. 32. Adams E. 27. Blackett-Taylor C. 11. Mendez-Laing N. (C) 9. Collins J.
Substitutes
11. Campbell C. 28. Kodua G. 10. Leahy L. 26. McCarthy J. 4. Scowen J. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 9. Vokes S.
7. Barkhuizen T. 22. Fornah T. 4. Hourihane C. 26. Robinson D. 16. Thompson L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 10. Waghorn M.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Smith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Hourihane C. ↑,
67', Sadlier K. 🟨,
69', Sadlier K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
70', Potts F. ↓, Scowen J. ↑,
78', Collins J. ↓, Waghorn M. ↑,
78', Washington C. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
78', Smith K. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
86', Taylor D. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
86', Kone R. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Recent matches Wycombe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Derby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wycombe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Derby is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Watch
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Ravizzoli F. (G) 
Grimmer J. (C) 
Low J. 
Tafazolli R. 
Lonwijk N. 
Lubala B. 
Taylor D. 
Sadlier K. 
Kone R. 
Adams E. 
Mendez-Laing N. (C) 
Stryjek M. (G) 
Fornah T. 
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