Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Accrington Stanley		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29	Watch
	9.5	5.75	1.29
	9.6	6	1.3	Watch
	9	5.8	1.28
	9.78	6.08	1.29
	10	5	1.25	Watch
	9.6	5.85	1.29	Watch
	9	5.8	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.44 ↑ (6.48)	5.79 ↑ (4.31)	1.28 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
10%

Draw
16.3%

Leeds United
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21.9%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

24.8%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Accrington Stanley - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Leeds will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Accrington is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leeds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leeds is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English FA Cup
24.01.23	Accrington Stanley - Boreham Wood	1:0 ET ✺
English League One
21.01.23	Barnsley - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	2:3 pen. ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Boreham Wood - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWT
- Leeds United
English Premier League
22.01.23	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
18.01.23	Leeds United - Cardiff City	5:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.01.23	Aston Villa - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Cardiff City - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.23	Leeds United - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.14	Leeds United - Accrington Stanley	2:1

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