Match Info

A-League - Round 8

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.85	3.35
	2.18	3.6	3.17	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3
	2.25	4.03	2.95	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.86)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
44.1%

Draw
25.8%

Brisbane Roar
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Sydney Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Brisbane will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Brisbane (1.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Brisbane (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Brisbane (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 22. Pantazopoulos A. 19. Tongyik R. 4. Bonetig A. 21. Hammond A. 32. Thurgate A. 25. Brillante J. 31. Simmons A. 26. Borrello B. 9. Barbarouses K. 23. Kraev B.	1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 12. Herrington L. 6. Ludwik A. 23. McGarry J. 10. Vrakas G. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 13. Hore H. 8. Klein S. 17. Vidic J. 9. Long Ch.
Substitutes
17. Carluccio J. 2. Cleur G. 30. Holmes J. (G) 45. Kuol A. 39. Lual A. 5. Scicluna D. 8. Ugarkovic S.	15. Bility H. 16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 44. Lauton J. 30. MacNicol Q. 31. Maieroni N. 19. Ruhs M.
Coaches
Stajcic A.	Valkanis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Simmons A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', O'Shea J. 🟨,
56', Barbarouses K. 🟨,
57', Long Ch. 🟨,
59', Simmons A. ↓, Cleur G. ↑,
59', Borrello B. ↓, Kuol A. ↑,
65', Bonetig A. 🟨,
74', Klein S. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
76', Hammond A. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
78', Long Ch. ↓, Bility H. ↑,
82', Thurgate A. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
83', Vrakas G. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
90', Hore H. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
90+1', Vidic J. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
90+2', MacNicol Q. 🟨,
90+4', Brillante J. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
90+4', Barbarouses K. ↓, Lual A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 1.

In recent matches, Western Sydney has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Western Sydney will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Bility H. (Hamstring Injury) Ferkranus M. (Muscle Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
05.12.25	Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
07.11.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT
- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
31.01.25	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1
14.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	2:2
05.04.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:2
01.12.23	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2
Australian Cup
16.09.23	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:2
Australian A-League
23.12.22	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
22.10.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:1

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