Match Info

Cymru South - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Cambrian United		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.9	9.4
	1.19	7.02	9.24
	1.25	5.78	10.5	Watch
	1.2	6	9
	1.22	6.4	10.7
	1.22	5.75	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	6.14 ↑ (5.1)	9.64 ↑ (7.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
75.6%

Draw
14.9%

Aberystwyth Town
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

16.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambrian United's performance.

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 5).

Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier

Cambrian United has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Aberystwyth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aberystwyth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambrian United is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cambrian United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
17.03.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Treowen Stars - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cambrian United - Trethomas Bluebirds	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Cambrian United - Caerau Ely	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:4 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aberystwyth Town - Treowen Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2
Welsh League Cup
25.09.18	Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town	3:1

Upcoming Matches